Okay Rotties: call it

I’d ask that each Rottie post their gut call for November.

Mitt or Barry, over to you. Post reasons and any theories. this isn’t a “how will you vote”, I’d like to ask a realistic gut call on how this will go down. We’ve all seen the poll models, and they swing so far and so fast they resemble Joe Biden’s few remaining brain cells dosed with Viagra on a trapeze.

If you call it for Obama, that’s okay, what I’m looking for is beyond the hype, beyond who we WANT to win….so this close, folks, put it all away, think on it and give me your best call.

Note: You all know me well, I am not an Eeyore, or a doomsayer, but I will be frank and state that it IS possible for the SCOAMF to leg it for another four years, no one with any brains takes winning for granted.

My call is Romney, with a narrow margin. Reasons? My call is the beer glasses are off, and Obama has passed his use by date by a wide margin. Can’t give a concrete rationale other than a feeling that he went to the well once too often. Benghazi is a festering sore that will NOT go away, and add in the economy fuckups along with his past “history”..Mitt will win, but it will NOT be a landslide.

My guess is maybe 10 or more electoral votes. Nevada and Wisconsin will be a knife edge. Florida as well. Don’t ask me why.

Vermont and open carry: a 2nd amendment issue, looking at Obama’s history in walking all over that amendment, my feel is that it will go Romney..just and no more.

DAMMIT, Why didnt Romney use that as a massive lever? Not as much the NRA, but he didnt or hasnt accentuated that factor enough. Mitt should have used the 2nd more and highlighted the Constitution. Gun rights are a HUGE percentage in voter visibility, and a high priority issue..one that he could have used to CRUCIFY Obama on.

Over to you

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Terrapod
Terrapod

Foist – Landslide not seen since Reagan took Carter with the electoral college by 15 points as well. I think enough people have had it with liberal democrats and the ones on the dole are not necessarily there because they want to be. Even schvartzes are seeing that they are in a worse position now than before der lichtbauer took… Read more »

LC TerribleTroy
LC TerribleTroy

Romney. Don’t know the margin. The youth vote is not motivated because there isn’t much “hope”. The morale of the nation overall is down. Also the “white guilt, moment in history” crowd will at the very least not turn out. After four yrs of the most racially divisive admin they are tired of being labeled racist for merely disagreeing and… Read more »

Here in Michigan nobody is paying attention. The black community is unified for Obama but lacks energy. The Reagan democrats will either stay home or vote for Romney. Several neighbors have told me what a mistake they made last election. I am calling it for Romney with 290+ electoral votes. The GOP will pick up all the close senate races,… Read more »

angrywebmaster
angrywebmaster

Everything I’ve seen in New Hampshire is Romney is going to win. There is no enthusiasm for King Putt anywhere

themandownthehall
themandownthehall

Eeyore here… Here in NC, the early voting has been very one sided Obama. I know early voting isn’t everything, but it’s what made the margins last time. I never thought my state would be dumb enough to go Obama again, but… Early voting in the other key states have been overwhelmingly democrat too. It’s no longer a one day… Read more »

sleeper
sleeper

I won’t make a prediction. There’s nothing to be gained by it. DAMMIT, Why didnt Romney use that as a massive lever? Not as much the NRA, but he didnt or hasnt accentuated that factor enough. Mitt should have used the 2nd more and highlighted the Constitution. I don’t think it’s all that important to Romney. If the wind blows… Read more »

L.C. Mope
L.C. Mope

Obama has a good chance of losing Illinois. Mark Kirk (R-RINO) won his seat by about 60,000 votes, Pat Quinn (D-Hack) won by 32,000 votes in 2010. Obama’s numbers here are down 15%. If it pans out Obama loses Illinois it will be a landslide of gigantic proportions. 320+ electoral votes for Romney. First, from the pdf of the 2010… Read more »

LC LOBO
LC LOBO

OT. It seems that no matter who wins the scum is getting even more violent. This is the second attack in Wisconsin this week. Kyle Wood, a full-time volunteer working for GOP House candidate Chad Lee, was hospitalized for injuries suffered during what he said was an assault at his home. Wood told The Daily Caller that vandalism preceding the… Read more »

Just Another Random Nut, GLOR
Just Another Random Nut, GLOR

I didn’t want to say – my gut has said Romney with a mild mandate since the Benghazi thing erupted. The parallels to the 1979 election are too obvious to ignore.

MikeG
MikeG

Not sure about the Electoral College vote, but I give it to Romney by 7 percentage points. Would be more if not for the voter fraud. Unfortunately Romney will likely have to win the Electoral College without the help of my MN. We haven’t went Republican since Nixon, so maybe we’re due. The Rs here DID take the House and… Read more »

watchyerlane
watchyerlane

Ok, let me take a crack at this. My gut says Romney wins this simply because momentum is in his favor and the NSDWP has been unable to destroy him despite $100 million in negative TV ads. Like Peggy Noonan said today that Americans don’t date losers, we are seeing the ultimate example of perception becoming reality. Obama is on… Read more »

VAconservative
VAconservative

I’m thinking, even above the margin of fraud, this is Romney’s. Facts: No one seems to name a demographic that the Golfer in Chief will do better with than he did in ’08; Regardless of sampling bias in the D+2,D+6 or whatever polls, Mitt’s margin among indies of about 18-20%, would be equivalent to Reagan’s ’84 landslide; They spent over… Read more »

Just Another Random Nut, GLOR
Just Another Random Nut, GLOR

VAconservative @ #12: Mitt has the cash to battle to the finish unlike broke McLame in ’08. More importantly – Romney doesn’t need to have the cash like they did in ’08. Obama had a positive message then that was much more difficult to fight. Not to mention the tactics he’s using are much neater. Romney is sitting back, running… Read more »

Orion
Orion

Unless Romney wins SEVERAL states that he is not expected to win by a landslide, the Democrat voter-fraud machine will give the win to Obama via Ohio, PA, MI, WI, MN, NV, IL and New England. Sorry. There’s too damn much voter fraud by the Dems out there. The MSM is only trying to make it seem like A: There’s… Read more »

Imperial Grammar Hun, G.L.O.R
Imperial Grammar Hun, G.L.O.R

I don’t see myself as an Eeyore, but I’m calling this one for ear leader. Several things: First, I think there will be voter fraud such as has never been seen in history. Already, a tv station has called the race for Obama, and in NC, voting machines switched a vote for Romney to Obama. Second, I think there will… Read more »

Imperial Grammar Hun, G.L.O.R
Imperial Grammar Hun, G.L.O.R

Oh, and one more thing (goes with voter fraud). Thousands of our military have been disenfranchised by not receiving their absentee ballots. The military overwhelmingly tends to go republican.

LC Sir Clambake, Imperial Black Ops Technician, K.o.E.
LC Sir Clambake, Imperial Black Ops Technician, K.o.E.

themandownthehall @ # 5: I put up a link to a story about that very problem with NC. And my latest is on basically the same subject. To the point, Romney will have to win to prevent a revolution. Those truly in power are watching their profits go down as America collapses, so they need to put in another “capitalist… Read more »

Physics Geek
Physics Geek

I’m going with a narrow PV win and an EV count of 271 for Romney. If -and it’s a big if- Romney manages to win the PV by 4% or more, then the EV numbers goes to 305, with Michigan flipping for it’s favorite son.

BigDogg - Imperial Thread Killer (ITK)
BigDogg - Imperial Thread Killer (ITK)

Either way, we have our work cut out for us. If Ears wins, then it’s time to sight-in your rifles and start locating fresh water sources within walking distance. If Romney wins, it means another 4-12 years of strenuous Tea Party activism – cleaning out the DC career politician frat house and replacing them with people like Allen West. If… Read more »

LibraryGryffon
LibraryGryffon

I live in CT, so if R/R takes this state, I should maybe start looking for the second coming. Either that or snowball fights in Hell. I keep seeing the CT state polls which give Ø a 13/14 point lead, though he did win this state in ’08 by 21. If these polls are correct (which I doubt, the few… Read more »

Imperial Grammar Hun, G.L.O.R
Imperial Grammar Hun, G.L.O.R

BigDogg says: If Romney wins, however, we’re still left with ~ 40% of the US population being either: 1) wannabe socialists; or 2) too damn stupid to poor piss out of a boot. If Ears wins, at least maybe we can thin that herd. If Romney wins, and we get a Republican congress, we can at least work to get… Read more »

LC Ogrrre - Imperial Heartless Bastard
LC Ogrrre - Imperial Heartless Bastard

Brendan, I’m thinking Romney by a landslide. Both Mitt and Paul Ryan attract huge crowds to their campaign events, whereas Il Douche and Uncle Choo Choo do not. Mitt has outraised Obama by 2 to 1. The polls that show Obama ahead by 3 or 4 have a D+6 to D+11 weighting, but the voter enthusiasm does not indicate that… Read more »

angrywebmaster
angrywebmaster

News Update.
I just found out Obama will be visiting NH this weekend RIGHT DOWN THE STREET FROM ME! :em06:

Anyone have the number of CIA travel services? I need to make a reservation for a cell at Gitmo. :em05:

DARTH_NEOCON
DARTH_NEOCON

I think Romney will win. Obonehead will lose some states he thinks he will win. With the indies and women trending toward Romney, they will push him across the finish line. I also know a lot of folks who will not vote for obonehead again. I also think a lot more religious folks who did not vote last time will… Read more »

Just Another Random Nut, GLOR
Just Another Random Nut, GLOR

You know – we should see about arranging an Election Day party, either online here or in person (preferably in person although there’s not really enough time to get anyone but locals).

DARTH_NEOCON
DARTH_NEOCON

Just Another Random Nut, GLOR @ #:

I agree, I have my Rottie t-shirt and will have plenty of beer. I am in Panama City Florida if some of you folks are close. :em01:

LC Spare Parts
LC Spare Parts

Voting machines here are malfunctioning just like on the east coast. A vote for Romney registers as a vote for Obama. The only ones getting corrected are those of voters who are willing to spend the time and shoe leather to force the election judges to do something about it. The Republican election board members don’t give a shit and… Read more »

SoCalOilMan, K.o.E.
SoCalOilMan, K.o.E.

I’m going with a Romney win, by how much, I can’t say. Being Kalifornia is such a strong Blue state no one pays much attention to us,except to screw up traffic for fund raisers. I’m stunned when I see a political ad other than for the state propositions. My guess is based on the surging crowds I’m seeing for Romney… Read more »

LC HJ Caveman82952
LC HJ Caveman82952

I would like to think Romney..I’ve already voted for him. But guys, the intuitive part of my gut is screaming bloodly murder right now……. Certain things have been getting done here with a greater sense of urgency and purpose. I haven’t felt this was since my mortaility was on the line facing an opponent. All I know with any sense… Read more »

Just Another Random Nut, GLOR
Just Another Random Nut, GLOR

DARTH_NEOCON @ #26:

I agree, I have my Rottie t-shirt and will have plenty of beer. I am in Panama City Florida if some of you folks are close.

Sadly, not close enough. If you’re in the Baltimore/Washington corridor or anywhere within decent driving distance of that, let me know.

LibraryGryffon
LibraryGryffon

That’s one of the concerns I have with the straight electronic voting machines. If the voter doesn’t check, and even if they do, they can be tampered with; on Coursera.org, they just had a five week program on voting and specifically electronic voting, “Securing Digital Democracy” and what can go wrong, you may still be able to watch the lectures.… Read more »

angrywebmaster
angrywebmaster

The October Surprise just exploded all over Obama. Fox just put up a story that the military was ordered to stand down on any rescue attempts for Ambassador Stevens. Also, the two SEALS that were killed were at the CIA center and went out to try and save Stevens against orders.

GOOD FOR THEM!

LC LOBO
LC LOBO

I’m calling it for Mittens. Then, as soon as possible we start making a viable third party.
In to more on my post at #8, Townhall has more listed. Brothers and Sisters, don’t let this happen to you. Carry. Everywhere. Legally. Illegally.

LC HJ Caveman82952
LC HJ Caveman82952

Gallup now has Romney up by five, fifty one to forty-six. I have noted a slow climb in approval ratings for Mitt. Bambi keeps self-destructing with his frantic moves…..I sense a growing frenzy in democratic ranks. Excellent.

LC Sir Clambake, Imperial Black Ops Technician, K.o.E.
LC Sir Clambake, Imperial Black Ops Technician, K.o.E.

LibraryGryffon says: Here’s hoping the third box works and we don’t have to resort to the fourth….. 8( Oh, I don’t know. That 4th box contains my blood pressure medicine right about now. LC HJ Caveman82952 says: Gallup now has Romney up by five, fifty one to forty-six. I have noted a slow climb in approval ratings for Mitt. Bambi… Read more »

rickn8or
rickn8or

I’m saying Romney in a squeaker, due to massive (but unsuccessful) voter fraud and incidents tying up machines at polls (“I just can’t make up my mind!”), running out of ballots, extended poll hours, you name it.

I’d like to be in a party mood election night, but I’m gonna spend a substantial amount of time loading magazines.

Delftsman3
Delftsman3

I think it will be R/R, by a squeaker (again, as noted above by other posters, due to massive voter fraud).
If not for the fraud, it would be R/R by at least 10 points.

SoCalOilMan, K.o.E.
SoCalOilMan, K.o.E.

I’ll be out of state on election day (already voted absentee), at Ft. Lewis visiting my kids, so I should be safe while there, but I seem to remember a travel alert about staying close to home the first few weeks of November. I’m taking Amtrak home (it seemed like a fun idea at the time), and I get to… Read more »

nealinnevada
nealinnevada

Unfortunately, western Nevada has become eastern California so I don’t think us rural folks can out-vote the union thugs in Clark County (Las Vegas)…so I think Nevada is going for our Ear Leader. With that said, I have been of the opinion that this election will mirror the Reagan – Carter debacle for the Democrats. I don’t suspect that the… Read more »

Fa Cube Itches
Fa Cube Itches

Romney handily wins the “popular vote”, but just edges Obizzle in the Electoral College.

As for why Romney didn’t use the 2nd Amendment /Gun Rights against Obama? He’s a statist, too, and he doesn’t like guns any more than the Obamessiah. Hell, he’s proud that he’s anti-gun.

Fa Cube Itches
Fa Cube Itches

LC Grammar Czar, G.L.O.R. @ #: If Romney wins, and we get a Republican congress, we can at least work to get people back to work Don’t be too sure about that. There might be a quick bump in employment as businesses that can hire, but have been holding off, take on new employees, but the overall economic situation is… Read more »

Fa Cube Itches
Fa Cube Itches

LibraryGryffon @ #: Here’s hoping the third box works and we don’t have to resort to the fourth….. 8( Interestingly, here in Soviet Monica, Democratic People’s Republic of California, gun sales have been brisk, to say the least. I picked up some ammo yesterday, and the gun counter guy at Big 5 said that a huge percentage of his store’s… Read more »

LC HJ Caveman82952
LC HJ Caveman82952

I’ll be out of state on election day SoCal…I’ll e-mail you if I hear of anything. I’m in central Kal thirty miles from Merced, fifty from Fresno. You will have to deal with obnoxious drunks in the dining cars. If things got really bad, my door is open………….cook you a nice T bone steak. I too, have read a great… Read more »

LC Gunsniper
LC Gunsniper

Winner, Mittens. Over the margin of cheating. Wisconsin is going red. Actually, thanks to Governor Scott Walker we’re in the black. :em01:

SoCalOilMan, K.o.E.
SoCalOilMan, K.o.E.

Thanks Cave. I like to think I’m being paranoid, but if TSHTF, it’s nice to know I have a spot to abandon ship.

LC Sir Intellectual Conservative 5th Columnist
LC Sir Intellectual Conservative 5th Columnist

LC HJ Caveman82952 @ #:

I think I’ve seen maybe ONE Obama yard sign here in OC

FYI .. theres an update on things I sent early AM .. check your email sir ..

Mattexian
Mattexian

I’m in enemy territory, a heavily Democrat neighborhood in a majority Democrat county, due to all the union jobs at the refineries. That said, I’m gonna agree with a few others, with Romney winning and popular vote and squeeking by in the EC. I’m afraid of the likelihood of “protests” across the country, tho I’m sure the police are quietly… Read more »

Cougar1978
Cougar1978

I hope it’s Romney, but between rigged voting machines, destroyed military ballots, and the growing hordes of stupid fucking people, I have a sinking feeling. I don’t want the Jug-eared dictator in office. However, their side is fighting motherfucking dirty. We aren’t fighting as hard. And our so-called leaders, have negotiated our dead corpse being sold piece by piece, as… Read more »

Greywolf
Greywolf

Following the nationwide election results of November 2010, my prediction has been steady since Thanksgiving, 2010: Romney by 4% to 6%. (Electoral College tally would then equate to between 290 and 301.) I believe that the center-right tsunami headed toward the polls in 11 days will excise the malignancy of the current administration, inoculate us for a decade against the… Read more »

howardfrombroward
howardfrombroward

mitt romney wins big time. when all those “beat whiteys, loot and burn their stuff if obama loses” threat/intimidation messages started popping up, it was obvious the durty donks themselves know they are in huge trouble 11/06. btw, where has eric holder been since june 28? just wonderin’. just to be on the safe side in case someone wants to… Read more »

LC Gladiator
LC Gladiator

Central Intelligence Agency director David Petraeus has emphatically denied that he or anyone else at the CIA refused assistance to the former Navy SEALs who requested it three times as terrorists attacked the U.S. consulate in Benghazi on the night of Sep. 11. The Weekly Standard reports that Petraeus’s denial effectively implicates President Barack Obama, since a refusal to assist… Read more »

Orion
Orion

Bit of an aside, or perhaps related, but I got to take a young lady for her first ever shooting run! A visit to a nice indoor range in Lebanon, OR and starting her out with a Taurus PT22 .22LR belly gun before moving her to a Kimber Pro-Carry in .45ACP, and then back down to a nice Marlin .22LR… Read more »

LC LOBO
LC LOBO

Orion @ #:
:em01:
Not much more I love to see than the smile of a new shooter.

VonZorch Imperial Researcher
VonZorch Imperial Researcher

Being the comeleat pessimist, I predict that Mitt will quickly move ahead in the popular vote. Then the voter fraud machine goes full throttle, end result Obummer takes a narrow win. Or if even massive fraud is not enough, some sort of catastrophe happens and jugears tries to invoke martial law and negate the election. Gee, ain’t I the ray… Read more »

LC LOBO
LC LOBO

VonZorch Imperial Researcher says: Being the comeleat pessimist, I predict that Mitt will quickly move ahead in the popular vote. Then the voter fraud machine goes full throttle, end result Obummer takes a narrow win. Or if even massive fraud is not enough, some sort of catastrophe happens and jugears tries to invoke martial law and negate the election. Gee,… Read more »

SoCalOilMan, K.o.E.
SoCalOilMan, K.o.E.

Orion @ #:52

My lib ex could outshoot me, never failed to piss me off. I still wonder what she pictured as she squeezed the trigger. :em06:

irish19
irish19

LibraryGryffon @ #:

Here’s hoping the third box works and we don’t have to resort to the fourth

No argument here. If we do, though……….

LC LOBO
LC LOBO

List of where the un “observers” are going to be, see if there is one near you. Olympia, WA Sacramento, CA Tallahassee, FL Frankfort, KY Topeka, KS Pierre, SD Atlanta, GA Springfield, IL Saint Paul, MN Salt Lake City, UT Santa Fe, NM Juneau, AK Nashville, TN Denver, CO Bismarck, ND Montgomery, AL Madison, WI Des Moines, IA Carson City,… Read more »

irish19
irish19

Orion @ #:
Good on you!! Another ally in the fight.

Igor, Imperial Booby
Igor, Imperial Booby

Look, it’s all speculation. Get out and vote, get all your friends out and have THEM vote. Put your trust and faith and prayers in God’s hands…
He is NOT neutral in this.

Tallulah
Tallulah

God isn’t neutral, but He may make us wander in the wilderness for forty years. . . .for worshipping the Golden Calf. A black man I know sent me an email about a BET (Black Entertainment Television) production called “THE SECOND COMING” — of Hussein Obama. Yes, that’s the “documentary”s real title. So yes, there are leftwads who are worshipping… Read more »

LC Xystus
LC Xystus

Igor, Imperial Booby: Put your trust and faith and prayers in God’s hands… He is NOT neutral in this. Good reminder. Tallulah: God isn’t neutral, but He may make us wander in the wilderness for forty years. . . .for worshipping the Golden Calf. Which we didn’t. Actually a literal wilderness can be an attractive place. When it comes to… Read more »

Radical Redneck
Radical Redneck

Just Another Random Nut, GLOR @ #:

Random, if you want to come 4 hours north many of us are planning a mob party outside of 30 Rock. One message – “JUMP!” :em05:

VAconservative
VAconservative

LC LOBO @ #: Why an observer would be in Richmond, VA which is obviously going 90% for Obozo? Only reason I could think is if one were going tobring a few extra ballots and be there to make sure that votes were cast for every dead person on the rolls and the boxes stuffed enough to aid him, maybe.… Read more »

angrywebmaster
angrywebmaster

OBAMA REPORT!
They have just closed the roads in front of my house in preparation for today’s visit by King Putt and his minions. I’ve got a crowd backing down the street from the main road now. I’m concerned about potential Occupy Space and Waste Oxygen types trying to “Occupy my front yard and using my pickup truck as a latrine.

angrywebmaster
angrywebmaster

If some Obot Jackweasel tries posting an Obama sign in my front yard, I’m going to roast marshmallows over it! :em08:

angrywebmaster
angrywebmaster

The weather is perfect for Obama. Cloudy, foggy with a good chance of lies and deceit. :em07:

Imperial Grammar Hun, G.L.O.R
Imperial Grammar Hun, G.L.O.R

angrywebmaster says:

If some Obot Jackweasel tries posting an Obama sign in my front yard, I’m going to roast marshmallows over it him/her!

FIFY. You’re welcome.

LC Wil, S.C.E.
LC Wil, S.C.E.

1) ca. 31 October / 1 November, there will be an assassination attempt on Ear Leader. He will then declare Martial Law, and “postpone” the election. 2) On 3 November, Soldiers from Fort Myer, “The Old Guard” will march to the Pentagon, going through Arlington Cemetery. Upon arrival at the Pentagon, they announce the “resignation” of Leon Panetta. 3) The… Read more »

angrywebmaster
angrywebmaster

I just took a walk around. There’s about 1-2K moonbats loitering around. The police detail looks really happy to be there. (One cop was texting constantly) Spotted some Secret Service on the school grounds. I also noted the actual “event” is on the other side of the school. They’ve set up bleachers and set aside some space for “Special Guests”.… Read more »

LC Xystus
LC Xystus

LC Wil, S.C.E.

…Sometimes, playing Cassandra is actually fun!

I like your specificity!

Mattexian
Mattexian

I gotta wonder about that list of “UN observer posts” with THREE listings for Austin, Texas. Austin??? Needing corrupt international observers?!? Don’t they know that Austin is our own little Moscow on the Colorado? Or are they hoping to score some drugs and conjugal visits from some college coeds?

LC Gregory
LC Gregory

Mattexian wrote, Don’t they know that Austin is our own little Moscow on the Colorado? Or are they hoping to score some drugs and conjugal visits from some college coeds? Oh, please! Everybody knows “U.N. Observers” like ’em a HELL of a lot younger than college-age! To answer the original question, I’m thinking Romney even with the fraud.

The_Basseteer
The_Basseteer

The Jawa Report posted Reagan’s Rendezvous with Destiny speech from 1964. I listened to that and now will shout from the roof top…ROMNEY!!!!